Players Who Beat Alcaraz Often Lose Next Match

In the last 12 months, every player who has defeated world number one Carlos Alcaraz before an ATP final has subsequently lost their following match. The pattern has emerged across hard, clay and grass courts, hinting that the physical and mental toll of beating the Spaniard may outweigh the immediate reward.

David Goffin knocked Alcaraz out at the 2025 Miami Open but fell to Brandon Nakashima straight after. Cameron Norrie beat him at the 2025 Paris Masters, then lost to Valentin Vacherot. Daniil Medvedev defeated Alcaraz in the Indian Wells semifinal before losing to Jannik Sinner in the final, and Sebastian Korda’s win over Alcaraz in Miami was followed by a loss to world‑number‑151 Martin Landaluce.